How we almost blew up the world by accident

Published: 13 April 2017
on channel: The Cynical Historian
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Plainly Difficult episode on Able Archer 83:
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The cold war is defined by two nuclear armed powers escalating around a concept that is supposed to prevent nuclear warfare. But does it really? Today we get into how nuclear deterrence itself might cause that which it is meant to deter. Because, Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) is a self fulfilling prophecy.

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A nuclear close call is an incident that could lead to at least one unintended nuclear detonation/explosion. These incidents typically involve a perceived imminent threat to a nuclear-armed country which could lead to retaliatory strikes against the perceived aggressor. The damage caused by international nuclear exchange is not necessarily limited to the participating countries, as the hypothesized rapid climate change associated with even small-scale regional nuclear war could threaten food production worldwide—a scenario known as nuclear famine.[1] Despite a reduction in global nuclear tensions after the end of the Cold War, estimated nuclear warhead stockpiles total roughly 15,000 worldwide, with the United States and Russia holding 90% of the total.[2] Although exact details on many of these nuclear close calls are hard to come by, the analysis of particular cases has highlighted the importance of a variety of factors in preventing accidents. At an international level, this includes the importance of context and outside mediation; at the national level, effectiveness in government communications, and involvement of key decision-makers; and, at the individual level, the decisive role of individuals in following intuition and prudent decision-making, often in violation of protocol.[3]


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