Putin withdrew previous conditions for peace talks with Ukraine, societal discontent rises in Russia
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Putin suddenly revised his attitude to negotiations with Ukraine and changed the conditions of the Russian authorities for their beginning. This is reported by "Agentstvo" . During the so-called "Conversations about the Important" lesson, which Putin held in Kyzyl, Tuva Republic, he allowed for the possibility of peace talks with Ukraine. He named the retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces from the territory of Kursk Oblast as a precondition. Before that, the president had named the retreat of the Ukrainian Armed Forces beyond the borders of the annexed regions of Ukraine as a precondition for starting negotiations. And after the invasion of Kursk Oblast, he declared such negotiations impossible.
This comment is in stark contrast to Putin's initial reaction to Ukraine's invasion of Kursk Oblast: On August 12, at a meeting with members of the Security Council, Putin ruled out the possibility of negotiations with Ukraine: "What kind of negotiations can we even talk about with people who indiscriminately strike at civilians, at civilian infrastructure, or try to create threats to nuclear power facilities?" He then called the offensive on the Kursk region an attempt by Ukraine to improve its negotiating position. In early June, Putin said that Russia would be ready to move to peace talks if Ukraine withdrew its troops from the Russian-annexed Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhia and Kherson regions and also renounced its plans to join NATO.
Societal discontent has risen in Russia since the start of Ukraine's incursion into Kursk Oblast, and is being acknowledged in Kremlin-public polling, the Institute for the Study of War reported.
According to polls cited by the ISW, "outrage or dissatisfaction" with Russian authorities has risen from 18% of respondents on July 12, to 28% on Aug. 25, the highest levels seen since the hugely unpopular mobilization in November of 2022.
Another recorded a drop in Russian President Vladimir Putin's approval rating of 3.5% to 73.6%, a record drop since the start of the full-scale invasion.
The ISW caveats the polling by saying they do not suggest "particularly pronounced discontent," and cautions against the reliability of Kremlin-conducted surveys.
"The polls do suggest, however, that the Kremlin assesses that it must recognize that societal discontent has risen since the start of Ukraine's incursion into Kursk Oblast," it says.
"The Kremlin appears to have launched an intricate messaging campaign aimed at justifying to its domestic audience why Russia is prioritizing the maintenance of offensive operations in eastern Ukraine over immediately expelling Ukrainian forces from Kursk Oblast, and limited acknowledgments of discontent may be a part of this campaign."
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