Trump versus Harris: Who will win the US 2024 presidential election?
Who will likely win on Tuesday 5 November 2024?
Ten years ago, John Antonakis, at HEC Lausanne of the University of Lausanne in Switzerland, and Philippe Jacquart at Emlyon France, developed a model to predict the U.S. presidential election outcome (see https://doi.org/10.5465/amj.2012.0831).
Since then, they have tweaked the model, which uses macroeconomic data and incumbency, as well as the charisma difference of the two candidates; this updated model uses data from 1916 to predict the electoral college outcome. Over the last 27 elections, the model calls the winner correctly 25 times (92.59% accuracy). See this video to understand how the model works and who will likely win the 2024 U.S. presidential eletion.
Watch video Trump versus Harris: Who will win the US 2024 presidential election? online without registration, duration hours minute second in high quality. This video was added by user Université de Lausanne 09 October 2024, don't forget to share it with your friends and acquaintances, it has been viewed on our site 94,565 once and liked it 868 people.