Google Trends Projection for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
This chart uses Google Trends data to provide an outlook on the competitive 2024 U.S. presidential race. Weighted data from key categories like news, politics, election campaigns, and public polling offer insights into public interest. The results show predicted vote shares in critical swing states such as Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Michigan, and others, where the margins between Trump and Harris remain narrow, highlighting the election’s competitiveness.
1. **Google Trends Data Download**: Search data from categories such as News, News/Politics, News/Politics/Election Campaigns, and News/Politics/Public Polls was utilized.
2. **Category Weighting**: Weights were applied as follows—News 0.01, News/Politics 0.04, News/Politics/Election Campaigns 0.2, News/Politics/Public Polls 0.75—giving higher importance to data with a likely impact on election outcomes.
3. **Minimum Threshold Application**: A minimum value of 10 was applied for cases where search volume was 0, ensuring proportionality even in low-interest cases.
4. **Recent Data Weighting**: Averages from the past 15 days were calculated, with weights applied to the last 5 days as follows: 1.0 for today, 0.8 for yesterday, 0.6 for two days ago, 0.4 for three days ago, and 0.2 for four days ago, to reflect recent changes in interest.
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[Data Attribution]
▶Google Trends: https://trends.google.com/trends/
#2024Election #GoogleTrends #USPresidentialElection #Trump #Harris #SwingStates #USPolitics #PublicOpinion #DataAnalysis #RealTimeData
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