Intelligence Officer Deep Dive into Targeting | Episode 109
Mike "Flash" McVay, hosts episode 109, with guests "Zero" Fox and "Toad" Williamson to dive into intelligence and the world of targeting. Both "Zero" and "Fox " bring years of experience from the world of intelligence, dynamic targeting, and mission planning.
Toad's blog: https://laymangeopolitics.substack.com/
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Chapters
00:00 Introduction and Hypothetical Adversary
02:51 Exploring Different Theories and Strategies for Targeting
10:02 The Shift Towards Dynamic Targeting and the Overreliance on F2T2EA
15:01 The Importance of Strategic Bombing and Supply Chain Targeting
19:47 Challenges of Contested Logistics in Modern Warfare
25:08 Understanding Adversary Vulnerabilities for Effective Targeting
35:58 Introduction to Upstream Targeting and LEAF
46:26 Repurposing National Guard Units for LEAF Targeting
48:20 Facilitating Cross-Flow Between Military and Commercial Sectors
54:29 Addressing the Vulnerability of Contested Port-to-Port Scenarios
58:49 Understanding and Targeting Adversarial Soft Spots
01:12:08 The Erosion of Trust in Institutions
01:13:34 Targeting Peripheral Areas to Hasten the End of Conflict
01:15:31 Considering Humanitarian Impact and Collateral Damage
01:26:30 A Strategic Approach to Minimize Human Suffering
01:29:51 Exploring Intelligence and Conspiracy Theories
Takeaways
Different theories and strategies exist for targeting in military war plans, such as Warden's Five Rings and Duhey's approach.
There has been a shift towards dynamic targeting and an overreliance on the F2T2EA methodology.
Strategic bombing and supply chain targeting should be considered in addition to traditional military fielded force targets.
Contested logistics is a significant challenge in modern warfare.
Understanding the vulnerabilities of the adversary is crucial in effective targeting. Upstream targeting in logistics, energy, agriculture, and finance (LEAF) can have a significant impact on military operations.
Identifying and disrupting critical nodes in the supply chain can be more effective than traditional kill chain targeting.
A whole-of-government approach is necessary for effective LEAF targeting, involving collaboration between the military and commercial sectors.
Contested port-to-port or port-to-fight scenarios are often overlooked in military exercises and need to be addressed to mitigate vulnerabilities.
Understanding and targeting the soft spots of adversaries is crucial for strategic success. The intermingling of Chinese influence with special interests, industry, and logistics raises concerns about the erosion of trust in institutions.
Targeting peripheral areas can hasten the end of a conflict and restore order, but it is important to consider the humanitarian impact and collateral damage.
A strategic approach that focuses on high ROI targets can avoid prolonged conflicts and minimize human suffering.
Future discussions will explore intelligence and conspiracy theories.
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