Foundation: Are We Predictable?
In which Jeff Goldblum, lemmings, and a pixelated photo of Obama help me uncover the mathematical reality of Isaac Asimov’s psychohistory.
In his Foundation book series, Asimov invented psychohistory, a scientific description of history that can predict the future. This video asks whether such a thing is possible. Join me on a tour of all things prediction: mathematical modelling, chaos theory, cliodynamics, machine learning, and how prediction and media interact.
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0:00 Intro
3:37 Part I: Foundation’s Foundations
12:33 Part II: The World in Numbers
19:45 Part III: The Lemming Effect
29:19 Part IV: Megahistory
42:42 Part V: We, Robots
52:05 Part VI: Prediction in Fiction
1:01:40 Credits
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SOURCES
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