Ukraine's Kursk Offensive: The Advance Continues | August 17-18, 2024
The Ukrainian Army continues its bold advance into Russian territory, capturing up to 1,150 square kilometers. Along the way, they've taken more Russian POWs and seized military equipment, while Russian forces have struggled to respond. Over 82 Russian settlements are now under Ukrainian control. This update covers how Ukrainian forces are treating Russian civilians. The number of Russians fleeing the Kursk region is growing. Russian authorities have offered little support, as Putin's regime sends conscripts from across Russia to face the strong and experienced Ukrainian Army.
Way to go, Ukraine!
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Post by (((Tendar))) @Tendar
https://x.com/Tendar/status/182488245...
“The Ukrainian offensive in Kursk has been ongoing for 12 days and it is time to make an intermediate assessment on all levels. Spoiler: it is an Ukrainian success story.”
This is a summary of the post:
• Tactical Level:
o Ukrainian forces successfully launched a surprise offensive in Kursk on August 6, 2024.
o Russian border posts were quickly overrun, with conscripts surrendering and initial response units wiped out.
o Ukrainian strikes were highly coordinated, showcasing mastery of maneuver warfare and excellent communication discipline.
o Ukrainian forces maintained operational secrecy, keeping Russians and OSINT (Open Source Intelligence) observers in the dark.
• Operational Level:
o Ukrainian forces bypassed heavily fortified areas, encircled Russian troops, and captured significant numbers of POWs (estimated at 2,000).
o Russians repeated past mistakes, with large columns being destroyed, notably in Rylsk, worsening their operational situation.
o Ukrainian Blitz has been an operational success, achieving rapid gains with minimal losses, while Russians struggled to respond effectively.
• Strategic Level:
o Ukrainian strategy focused on efficiency, targeting weak spots rather than engaging in attritional warfare.
o The Kursk offensive achieved more in 7 days than Russian forces did in a year in Donetsk, with minimal Ukrainian casualties.
o The operation exposed Russia's lack of a coherent strategy, as their attritional approach failed to yield significant gains.
o Ukrainian forces successfully bypassed Russian defenses, causing significant damage and highlighting Russian weaknesses.
• Political Level:
o The Ukrainian presence in Russian territory undermines Putin's narrative of a strong Russia, exposing the country's vulnerabilities.
o The defeat in Kursk is a significant blow to Russian morale and propaganda, with implications for Putin's leadership.
o Putin's plans for a ceasefire in Donbas are now jeopardized by Ukrainian control of Russian territory, requiring a costly Russian response.
o The Kursk operation demonstrated to Western backers that Ukraine can win the war if adequately supported. «There are no Russian red lines, only bluffs.»
o The operation may expedite Putin's downfall, highlighting the need for decisive action from the West to end the war and weaken Russia's position.
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