Dual-capable missiles and non-nuclear missiles with strategic effect
The session 'Dual-capable missiles and non-nuclear missiles with strategic effect: Are current control regimes fit for purpose?' was organized by SIPRI at the 2022 Stockholm Security Conference 'Battlefields of the Future: Trends of Conflict and Warfare in the 21st Century—Effects and Impact of the War in Ukraine'. #SthlmSecCon
The rationale behind much of the international missile non-proliferation regime is to control missiles for their possible use as delivery systems of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons. Yet there is a trend towards using conventionally armed high-precision missiles and other uncrewed delivery systems for broader military missions, including ‘strategic’ missions. Emerging, advanced missile technologies, including hypersonic missiles, are developed for both conventional and nuclear missions. And other delivery systems, including uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs), now also fulfil a growing range of military missions, long fulfilled only by missiles. These delivery systems have a significant impact on contemporary conflict.
Despite this, during the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Russia's massive use of missiles on military and civilian targets has not given Russia a decisive advantage. This, to some extent, calls into the question the significance and military utility of missiles. In this context, it is important to develop a differentiated approach to rethinking the existing instruments, approaches and norms of missile and other NCB delivery system non-proliferation.
This session provides an opportunity to discuss limitations to and opportunities for strengthening existing missile non-proliferation instruments. It also provides space for rethinking the approach to controlling conventional and dual-capable missile proliferation, drawing on the perspectives of policymakers, analysts, technical and policy experts.
Moderator:
Lauriane Héau, Research Assistant, Dual-Use and Arms Trade Control Programme, SIPRI
Discussants:
Kolja Brockmann, Senior Researcher, Dual-Use and Arms Trade Control Programme, SIPRI
Fabian Rene Hoffmann, Doctoral Research Fellow, University of Oslo
Manpreet Sethi, Distinguished Fellow, Centre for Air Power Studies, New Delhi
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